MLB · OHTANI · FLAGSHIP ohtani-2018-toppschromeupdate-base
Shohei Ohtani
Catalyst is the bid. Supply is the risk. Chrome Update is crowded.
PPR
0.547
COMPOSITE
42
POP VEL
▲+6.22/d
GRADES
Flagship distribution
2018 Topps Chrome Update #HMT32 Shohei Ohtani RC
PSA 9
6,100$720
PSA 10
4,480$2,450
SUPPLY
Pop velocity
POP TODAY
4,480
POP 90D
3,920
VEL / DAY
▲+6.22/d
CEILING
49%
SUB PRESSURE
3.192
Arrows are inverted on purpose: red means the gem pop is growing (bearish), green means pop is flat or falling (bullish).
RESUB
WATCH — ratio in the danger band
Trigger is mechanical: 9/10 ratio ≥ 8 and ROI ≥ 3x = HIGH; ratio ≥ 5 and ROI ≥ 1.5x = WATCH. ROI uses 30% upgrade rate and $100 grading cost.
- ohtani-2018-bowmanchromedraft-baseWATCHratio 6.0x · ROI 4.7x · gap $1,900
WATCH resub — 9/10 ratio in the danger band with still-positive ROI.
T0
Gap table
| SLAB ID | PSA9 | PSA10 | GAP% | PPR | PPR VEL | POP VEL | RESUB | ROI | T0 | COMP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ohtani-2018-bowmanchromedraft-base | $900.00 | $2,800 | 68% | 7.000 | -7.9% | ▲+0.58/d | WATCH | 4.7x | NEUTRAL | 45 |
| ohtani-2018-topps-base | $95.00 | $210.00 | 55% | 0.019 | -9.1% | ▲+12.00/d | STABLE | -0.7x | NEUTRAL | 44 |
| ohtani-2018-toppschromeupdate-base | $720.00 | $2,450 | 71% | 0.547 | -10.9% | ▲+6.22/d | STABLE | 4.2x | NEUTRAL | 39 |